Bill's Notes

Are these guys starting to sound like Marxists
Marxism predicted the collapse of capitalism, saying that competition would eventually cause profits to decline more and more until the whole thing just imploded. When that didn't happen, Marxists blamed one thing or the other, such as colonialism and imperialism, saying that the collapse had been moved from the First World to the Third World. And stuff like that.

Now, I'm saying saying global warming isn't happening (although now it's been called "climate change"). I've long argued that we could have man-made global warming, we could be in a warm earth cycle, and that we don't understand the corrective mechanisms of the system even if it's man-made. And oh yeah, I've mentioned that if the global warming alarmists are correct, we're absolutely fucked. There is no way to avoid burning carbon-based fuels (which includes, after all, wood) in time. It would require a worldwide agreement, essentially, to freeze and starve in the dark until we all go all electric, supplied by nuclear energy. Not gonna happen.

A lot of people are emotionally committed to the idea of global warming and especially all the stuff we'll need to stop it. Now, I happen to agree with some of the treatments, you know, such as getting off fossil fuels and the like. It's called technological progress and it's one thing Marx missed in his critique of capitalism.

Anyway, all that's to say, check out this story:


The Mystery of Global Warming's Missing Heat

Morning Edition, March 19, 2008 ยท Some 3,000 scientific robots that are plying the ocean have sent home a puzzling message. These diving instruments suggest that the oceans have not warmed up at all over the past four or five years. That could mean global warming has taken a breather. Or it could mean scientists aren't quite understanding what their robots are telling them.

This is puzzling in part because here on the surface of the Earth, the years since 2003 have been some of the hottest on record. But Josh Willis at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory says the oceans are what really matter when it comes to global warming.

In fact, 80 percent to 90 percent of global warming involves heating up ocean waters. They hold much more heat than the atmosphere can. So Willis has been studying the ocean with a fleet of robotic instruments called the Argo system. The buoys can dive 3,000 feet down and measure ocean temperature. Since the system was fully deployed in 2003, it has recorded no warming of the global oceans.

"There has been a very slight cooling, but not anything really significant," Willis says. So the buildup of heat on Earth may be on a brief hiatus. "Global warming doesn't mean every year will be warmer than the last. And it may be that we are in a period of less rapid warming."


*****

OK. A brief hiatus. Less-rapid warming that is in fact cooling. Them's the statements that constitute sleight-of-hand, and the presumption. If we don't know the causes, we sure-as-shit don't know it's brief. It could be. Or not. But we don't know. There was an assumption that the heating will continue, and here this data doesn't go with the theory, so it must be a "brief hiatus." Nothing to say about the theory. Or the problem is with the instruments. (There could be instrument problems; I'm not saying the theory was wrong; just that this story is written as if to defend dogma.)

*****

Eric Blair (mail) (www):
Nobody wants to admit its the sun that's doing this, because, like, you can't blame that on Bush.
3.20.2008 9:51pm
Super G (www):
What, the sun doesn't shine because George tells it too? Sheesh, it was the one good thing I was giving him credit for.
3.20.2008 9:54pm

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